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Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice
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Behavioral, Self, and Social Control Predictors of Desistance From Crime

A Test of Launch and Contemporaneous Effect Models

Julien Morizot

University of Montreal, julien.morizot{at}umontreal.ca

Marc Le Blanc

University of Montreal, marc.leblanc{at}umontreal.ca

Although the literature has generated a large body of knowledge on the development of criminal activity, much remains unknown about the normative process of desistance. This study investigates desistance from self-reported criminal activity among a sample of French-Canadian men who were adjudicated during adolescence and interviewed on various occasions through midlife. Desistance is defined as the dynamic process characterized by a progressive decline in offending versatility. Latent trajectory modeling was used to test two models, the launch and contemporaneous effect models, accounting for the effects of deviant behavior and measures of self- and social control on desistance. The launch effect model suggests that very few self- or social control variables can predict trajectories of desistance from crime throughout a 25-year period. The contemporaneous effect model reveals that some measures of self- and social control accelerate (or restrain) the desistance process, but only at specific developmental periods.

Key Words: desistance • criminal activity • deviant behavior • self-control • personality • social control • latent trajectory modeling

Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, Vol. 23, No. 1, 50-71 (2007)
DOI: 10.1177/1043986206298945
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D. P. Farrington
Advancing Knowledge About Desistance
Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, February 1, 2007; 23(1): 125 - 134.
[Abstract] [PDF]